Everyone was very quick to toss Dubnyk under the bus last year. "Bad Goaltending" was the reason for how awful the team was. Except consider his stats in the three years prior to Eakins showing up in Edmonton:
2010-11 35 GP 12-13-8 2.71 GAA .916 SV%
2011-12 47 GP 20-20-3 2.67 GAA .914 SV%
2012-13 38 GP 14-16-6 2.57 GAA .920 SV%
Great? No. Decent? Yes. Right in the "lower mid-range" of the pack.
The Eakins comes along, and pretty much every single player on the team regressed. How big a disaster of a hire he was, I don't think it can be overstated. I'm convinced that Eakins will go down as one of the worst coaching hires in the history of the league, and certainly the worst in the history of the Oilers (yes, I'm including George Burnett in that list).
Dubnyk was a decent goalie, on a bad team, putting up okay numbers. I was always convinced that he'd be a solid "top 20" netminder going forward, if the team in front of him was half decent. Eakins came in, the team played horrible hockey, and Dubnyk was tossed to the curb as a scapegoat. Nearly a decade worth of development time thrown away, so the coach could have an excuse.
Last year, after being kicked aside from playing for one of the most poorly coached teams in NHL history, he was passed around between a few teams, and must have read quite a few articles regarding the fact that he'd never make it in the NHL again. All the while he had a newborn back in Edmonton. I'd imagine the whole thing wasn't very good for his head, distracted, and zero confidence. He was awful in Nashville & Hamilton (I don't think ever got called up by the Habs??) and if I remember correctly, actually got the Habs to let him end his season early.
Obviously his numbers with Minnesota are not sustainable. Carey Price couldn't keep numbers like that going for the the long haul, but if Dubnyk becomes a regular #1 goalie in the league for the duration of his next (long term) contract... and is in the range of "top 10" goalie in terms of GAA / SV%..... it would not surprise me in the least.
I say good for him. He's getting a chance to win, he's pretty much guaranteed himself a nice pay day in the offseason.... while reminding all of us how poorly run the Edmonton Oilers truly are.