And the Cups Odds Are?

[vodkalodka]

Before I continue, I based this on total cards in the production run excluding cards on the checklist that don't have serial numbering and are just marked SP. I'm assuming after cards that have been pulled from QC issues or the like it will probably be pretty close to the same total given there aren't many SP'd cards.

First off, I made 2 sets of calculations on each tab. 1 based on the UD stated 5 cards per pack and 1 based on the 6 cards per pack like we actually saw in last years Cup.

Secondly, there are 3 tabs. 1 for each type of calculation. Per tin odds, per 3 box case odds, and per 6 box case odds.

Ok here there are......
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AlxQjOIF7dsadGEwRTF4dHlFVE1DZHppUU8xdll2ZkE&hl=en_US

Finally, Icebox if you wanna post this one on your blog too go right ahead.

And Enjoy all!

Ron

 

[Stevini18]

Thanks! Nice work.

 

[BillInDallas]

Thank you VERY much for working through the numbers. Just a few more days to try and beat the odds!

 

[Nathan7070]

I would guess you know how many tins or cases are being produced to figure out these numbers right?

 

[Tangerinebunny]

Essentially all the cards are #d so you don't need to know exactly how many tins are out.

 

[vodkalodka]

I would guess you know how many tins or cases are being produced to figure out these numbers right?

Its basically what tangerinebunny said. Since everything is serial #'d and we know the cards per tin (5 or 6) the approximate tin/case production run can calculated. No way to be 100% certain given we don't know how many cards have been removed for QC issues or held for replacements. Suffice it to say its a highly educated estimate.

 

[pur3strpker0]

Thanks for the Spreadsheet once again! Always good to know the odds of pulling something this high end!

 

[canucksfreak19]

Very much appreciated.

 

[pharmd30usp]

I say the odds are everyone is getting the shaft. No calculations required. :laugh: