In 2007 this club had THREE first round picks - THREE! They walked away with Gagner, Riley Nash and Alex Plante. Just go scan through their draft picks and it won't take you long to figure out why there are in this mess - facts are facts. Edmonton is always going to be a tough free agent draw, how many Mrs Johnny Superstars would choose Edmonton over SoCal? Probably not many. So you better hit the draft hard...this is just awful.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Edmonton_Oilers_draft_picks
But at least they are going to correct that now - McT is going to coach a coach instead of heading to eastern Canada to scout the World Juniors - welcome to another five years of rebuild...at best.
Yeah...hindsight is 20/20 but there is a definite problem with scouting and/or development.
Voracek, Couture, McDonagh, and Shattenkirk all drafted after Gagner.
Pacioretty, Backlund, and Perron (!) drafted after Plante and Nash. There's Cherapanov too but that was unfortunate what happened.
Plus I'm not sure if the GM's have been ignorant to the fact the Edmonton is one of the least popular destinations for UFAs.
So it totally baffled my mind when the high draft picks were put into the NHL right away, and given monster contracts as their bridge contracts to get a year or 2 of UFA years.
Part of it is a philosophical problem. When they got rid of the vets completely.
If you had Hemsky still and he was your #1 RW, then Eberle would be #2RW and paid accordingly. Also, there would be no rush to bump Eberle into the #1 spot b/c of lack of better options. Repeat with Hall and RNH. Schultz too. This year is Draisaitl.
You look at organizations like Detroit who don't rush their prospects. Plus they have done well over the years in scouting that they have a lot of organizational depth. So roster spots have to be "won" not given.
You can be sure that a prospect like Mantha will go through the usually detroit route. Finish off junior and dominate there. Go to the AHL, and get a couple of seasons under your belt. Get call ups for their 9 game stints each year to give the a taste of the NHL. And if they're putting up a PPG in the A, they get their shot at the big leagues at training camp. By then, the player is 22 when they just start in the NHL and isn't a UFA until they are 30. You're paying the player for when they are NHL ready. Edmonton has been paying top dollar for the player's development.
Given the gong show it has been, I don't know if any of the big named players in Edmonton will re-sign after their contract is done. They'll be UFAs. Edm will try to sign them beforehand, but will need to have a firm answer in the the 2nd last year of their contracts. Eberle will be first in the 2017-18 season. 3 years from now. If he declines, and is traded away for a draft pick and prospects, what is the likeliness that Hall will stick around when he's asked the following year? And then RNH?
In 3 years, this team isn't going to look like a contender. Eberle could see that there are strides in the right direction but he'll be 27 at the time, and will have to decide if he can wait a few more years to wait for the team to be a winner, assuming that it is even on the horizon.
If you wait, then you risk losing Eberle for nothing, Hall might get a 1st R back, and maybe something for RNH. In 2 years the whole core will be gutted and this "re-build" is finished.